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Monday, May 16, 2011

Lunch Analysis

Bought some dollars this morning after we hit the trendline connecting the "twos."  Seems to be holding up real well, but I'm still nervous about it.  I have a feeling we should have seen a more material correction before the market was ready to continue moving up.

Dollar Index Hourly

Here's the other scenario, calling for more upside on the Euro.  Though I'm already long the Dollar, I would actually prefer to see this because I would have more confidence in a trade based on this setup.  All I can really do though is go with it and put a stop above the high labeled "a" of II.

EUR/USD Hourly

Stocks look like crap.  The Russell has fallen off after breaking through the trendline I talked about this morning.

Russell 2000 Daily


The S&P is also breaking an important trendline connecting the interim lows since March.  Unlike the Russell, there is a supportive and more important trendline underneath us and we haven't seen a divergent high yet.

S&P 500 Daily